2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
market odds · yes 5% · no 95% · $4.5M traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 31 hold no ($3.5M) and 7 hold yes ($7,732).
the biggest position among them is ndb1 with $1.4M on no.
■ updated nov 2 22:15 utc
what top polymarket traders are betting on
the 39 most traded open markets on polymarket right now, with the market odds and how the 1000 best polymarket traders by win rate are positioned on each. open a market for the full split, or browse the top polymarket traders.
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most traded open markets
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
market odds · yes 95% · no 5% · $2.9M traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 43 hold yes ($3.9M) and 12 hold no ($28.9K).
the biggest position among them is ndb1 with $1.2M on yes.
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
market odds · yes 24% · no 76% · $1.9M traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 30 hold no ($549.8K) and 10 hold yes ($117.6K).
the biggest position among them is 0x4488…e319 with $153.0K on no.
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
market odds · yes 34% · no 66% · $1.9M traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 20 hold yes ($520.6K) and 9 hold no ($54.5K).
the biggest position among them is ndb1 with $210.2K on yes.
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
market odds · yes 77% · no 23% · $1.7M traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 39 hold yes ($4.1M) and 8 hold no ($22.3K).
the biggest position among them is ndb1 with $2.9M on yes.
Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C
market odds · potn9ki 50% · hellnight- 50% · $1.6M traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 6 hold hellnight- ($46.8K) and 3 hold potn9ki ($829.10).
the biggest position among them is LuckyWin with $44.5K on hellnight-.
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
market odds · yes 77% · no 23% · $1.3M traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 23 hold yes ($289.7K) and 15 hold no ($164.5K).
the biggest position among them is ndb1 with $84.6K on no.
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
market odds · yes 6% · no 94% · $1.1M traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 31 hold no ($2.7M) and 9 hold yes ($11.4K).
the biggest position among them is ndb1 with $1.1M on no.
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
market odds · yes 80% · no 20% · $901.6K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 20 hold yes ($228.8K) and 13 hold no ($90.3K).
the biggest position among them is carlos484 with $48.2K on yes.
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
market odds · yes 11% · no 89% · $754.1K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 11 hold yes ($14.8K) and 5 hold no ($3,668).
the biggest position among them is mr.ozi with $6,353 on yes.
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
market odds · yes 25% · no 75% · $673.1K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 40 hold no ($759.0K) and 8 hold yes ($15.6K).
the biggest position among them is 0x4488…e319 with $113.2K on no.
Bears vs. Seahawks
market odds · bears 39% · seahawks 61% · $623.8K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 3 hold seahawks ($274.9K) and 4 hold bears ($9,227).
the biggest position among them is Kch-Temp with $246.0K on seahawks.
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
market odds · yes 7% · no 93% · $600.5K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 4 hold no ($65.7K) and 11 hold yes ($36.9K).
the biggest position among them is milkteaboba with $63.5K on no.
Hawks vs. Pacers
market odds · hawks 79% · pacers 21% · $588.5K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 2 hold hawks ($138.6K) and 17 hold pacers ($15.5K).
the biggest position among them is SineNooneEI with $136.2K on hawks.
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
market odds · yes 22% · no 78% · $539.8K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 15 hold no ($129.7K) and 11 hold yes ($54.1K).
the biggest position among them is foodenjoyer with $49.1K on no.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
market odds · yes 33% · no 67% · $534.2K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 29 hold no ($1.5M) and 11 hold yes ($89.3K).
the biggest position among them is flawfence with $335.6K on no.
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
market odds · yes 76% · no 24% · $530.7K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 44 hold yes ($604.6K) and 18 hold no ($22.9K).
the biggest position among them is tourists with $63.4K on yes.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
market odds · yes 18% · no 82% · $523.8K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 48 hold no ($2.4M) and 7 hold yes ($31.2K).
the biggest position among them is denizz with $305.6K on no.
Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
market odds · ugo humbert 78% · botic van de zandschulp 22% · $466.1K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 10 hold ugo humbert ($51.1K) and 8 hold botic van de zandschulp ($1,274).
the biggest position among them is 0x2c33…0563 with $26.8K on ugo humbert.
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
market odds · rockets 53% · celtics 47% · $459.0K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 12 hold celtics ($28.8K) and 1 holds rockets ($4,422).
the biggest position among them is HomeRunHazard with $16.4K on celtics.
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
market odds · yes 2% · no 98% · $444.3K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 12 hold yes ($4,935) and 2 hold no ($887.87).
the biggest position among them is mr.ozi with $1,500 on yes.
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
market odds · yes 61% · no 39% · $425.3K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 9 hold yes ($40.1K) and 14 hold no ($36.0K).
the biggest position among them is Melody626 with $25.3K on yes.
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
market odds · yes 18% · no 82% · $394.1K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 28 hold yes ($609.7K) and 6 hold no ($2,869).
the biggest position among them is ndb1 with $528.7K on yes.
Raptors vs. Clippers
market odds · raptors 62% · clippers 38% · $376.9K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 12 hold raptors ($19.2K) and 4 hold clippers ($6,159).
the biggest position among them is HomeRunHazard with $9,409 on raptors.
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?
market odds · yes 70% · no 30% · $360.0K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 5 hold yes ($5,222) and 4 hold no ($3,383).
the biggest position among them is Tokor with $2,431 on no.
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
market odds · yes 95% · no 5% · $279.9K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 13 hold yes ($78.0K) and 3 hold no ($156.99).
the biggest position among them is classified with $22.4K on yes.
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
market odds · yes 74% · no 26% · $261.8K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 8 hold yes ($35.4K) and 8 hold no ($5,550).
the biggest position among them is MisTKy with $8,492 on yes.
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
market odds · yes 66% · no 34% · $261.6K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 18 hold no ($36.4K) and 8 hold yes ($30.4K).
the biggest position among them is Melody626 with $18.1K on yes.
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
market odds · aurora gaming 56% · g2 44% · $258.9K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 3 hold g2 ($41.2K) and 1 holds aurora gaming ($475.18).
the biggest position among them is 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3… with $34.8K on g2.
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?
market odds · yes 5% · no 95% · $255.4K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 5 hold no ($12.6K) and 2 hold yes ($159.99).
the biggest position among them is lovedudley with $4,763 on no.
Heat vs. Lakers
market odds · heat 44% · lakers 56% · $252.9K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 12 hold heat ($23.1K) and 4 hold lakers ($12.2K).
the biggest position among them is HomeRunHazard with $18.1K on heat.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
market odds · yes 3% · no 97% · $251.6K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 6 hold no ($93.3K) and 1 holds yes ($35.70).
the biggest position among them is kingofcoinflips with $74.0K on no.
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
market odds · seahawks 56% · bears 44% · $246.5K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 3 hold seahawks ($107.4K) and 5 hold bears ($99.1K).
the biggest position among them is gmpm2 with $98.1K on bears.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
market odds · yes 72% · no 28% · $236.2K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 10 hold yes ($313.2K) and 7 hold no ($8,271).
the biggest position among them is TheReturnOfDarthMaul with $157.3K on yes.
Suns vs. Warriors
market odds · suns 44% · warriors 56% · $233.9K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 7 hold suns ($12.3K) and 12 hold warriors ($9,951).
the biggest position among them is SineNooneEI with $9,234 on suns.
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
market odds · yes 71% · no 29% · $228.4K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 11 hold yes ($152.1K) and 10 hold no ($39.9K).
the biggest position among them is DonaldinhoTrumpito with $70.5K on yes.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
market odds · yes 43% · no 57% · $219.2K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 12 hold yes ($112.9K) and 12 hold no ($36.5K).
the biggest position among them is tsybka with $45.3K on yes.
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
market odds · yes 2% · no 98% · $218.9K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 7 hold yes ($2,653) and 2 hold no ($1,546).
the biggest position among them is mr.ozi with $1,459 on yes.
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
market odds · yes 2% · no 98% · $215.4K traded in 24h
among top winning traders, 2 hold no ($5,707) and 5 hold yes ($1,303).
the biggest position among them is 0x2c33…0563 with $3,932 on no.
odds and positions come from public polymarket data, refreshed about every 20 minutes. a snapshot of what top traders hold, not advice.